Posts Tagged ‘Post-draft analysis’

Post-draft analysis: Examiner fantasy baseball draft 2011

Wednesday, March 23rd, 2011

As we talked about the other day, it’s important to evaluate your team after your draft. In our quest for more data on this, we came across Travis’s blog post about his draft and decided to run his team through our draft tool. We hope you don’t mind Travis – it looks like you’ve got one of the more balanced teams we’ve come across so nice job. As you noted in your post, you kind of punted on saves and steals is a big question mark for you, but definitely look VERY competitive in 6 categories. Great job!

Post-draft analysis: “Miggy’s Scotch”

Tuesday, March 22nd, 2011

As we talked about yesterday, it’s important to evaluate your team after your draft. In our quest for more data on this, we came across Laura’s blog post about her draft and decided to run her team through our draft tool. We hope you don’t mind Laura!

Her team:

POSITION PLAYERS
BAL C Matt Wieters (12)
STL 1B Albert Pujols (1)
CIN 2B Brandon Phillips (4)
PIT 3B Pedro Alvarez (8)
TEX SS Elvis Andrus (9)
TEX OF Josh Hamilton (3)
ATL OF Jason Heyward (5)
CIN OF Jay Bruce (7)
MIL 1B Prince Fielder (2)
PHI 2B Chase Utley (6)
NYM OF Carlos Beltran (18)
TB 2B Sean Rodriguez (19)
PHI OF Domonic Brown (20)
KC SS Alcides Escobar (21)
ATL 1B Freddie Freeman (22)

PITCHERS
DET Max Scherzer (10)
ARI Daniel Hudson (11)
TB Jeremy Hellickson (13)
CIN Aroldis Chapman (17)
WAS Stephen Strasburg (14)
TEX Colby Lewis (15)
CHC Ryan Dempster (16)

 

And our evaluation:

Now, we have a bit of a deficiency when it comes to new players, so this evaluation of her saves isn’t exactly fair, but as she mentions in her blog post, Laura’s somewhat thin at pitching and is going to have to look after that pretty closely. From what we can tell, she’s probably going to have to punt on steals and might be able to trade from strength in the batting categories in order to shore up her pitching weaknesses. Laura, if you’d like to let us know about the details of your league, we can make sure this reflects the scoring categories and roster sizes more appropriately.

 

 

 

 

Hope is not a fantasy baseball strategy

Monday, March 21st, 2011

Feeling pretty good aren’t you?

 

Let me guess, you’re looking at your roster and thinking, “I’ve got Pujols, David Wright, Cliff Lee, A-Rod, Mariano and a bunch of solid guys, I had a pretty good draft..”

Wrong

 

Let’s face facts. Many of us fantasy baseball addicts are just eternal optimists. We “play” this sport for 6 months a year, watching our real teams AND our fantasy rosters on a daily basis, hoping to eek out a victory this week or to find that we’re rooting for this year’s SF Giants (Go GIANTSSSSS!!!)

But for most of us, it’s just hope. Endless hope. We’re hoping that our team will win more games. Hope that two randoms are going to start hitting and shock us. Hope that our late round “sleeper” that everyone else read about too actually pans out. Hope, hope, hope.

HOPE  IS NOT A FANTASY BASEBALL STRATEGY.

Tough love folks. That’s what we’re about here at DraftMVP. Data. Analysis. Ruthless calculation. Why?

WE WANT YOU TO WIN.

There, we said it. Your draft might have been ok. But most of you are just hoping it was good. Right now you’re sitting there talking yourself into John Lackey or J.D. Drew. We know you’re doing it – don’t deny it.

What you should really be doing is tough analysis and asking some simple questions of your roster:

  • Where are you strong?
  • What can you build on?
  • What categories are you going to have to punt on?
  • What kind of early season trades can you swoop in and make before anyone else realizes what’s going on?

Many of you have been using our draft tool (not signed up? go do it now) and are familiar with how we present data. But for those of you who didn’t draft with it, you can still make use of the analysis we provide. Instead of just HOPING that your team is good, you can take 10 minutes to analyze your roster, with your league’s scoring categories and rules taken into account.

In 10 minutes you’ll go from feeling “pretty good” about your team to knowing that you’re strong in 6 categories and weak in 4.

You think we’re exaggerating don’t you? Here, we’ll show you. We took Michael Stein’s roster from the Yahoo! Expert League, input it into our draft tool and assumed that it was a standard 5×5 scoring format. 5 minutes later (we’re fast), here’s what we see:

 

Michael Stein's Y! Expert League Roster

Michael, we hate to break it to you, but your team’s got some holes. You probably realized you were light on saves, but it looks like you’re going to need help at Steals, Runs, Wins and Strikeouts too (if these are your league settings* of course).

To the rest of you – we ask: do you have 10 minutes to shape your season? Go out and win folks. Go out and win.

*(Michael, let us know in the comments what the league specifics are and we can update the analysis quickly).